Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 61.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 50.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 54.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Henrique
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Henrique
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
51.8% (444)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
45.3% (150)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Henrique
Kuraly
Home
53.5% (215)
54.6% (304)
Away
55.2% (306)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Henrique
Kuraly
P1
57.7%
55.2%
P2
53.8%
45.7%
P3
51.6%
49.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:57 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |