Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Hertl 50.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 61.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 61.7%
Neutral zone
Henrique 62.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Henrique
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Henrique
Hertl
Last 9: Henrique 3-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Henrique
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Henrique
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Henrique
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (801)
51.5% (891)
-3.7%
Power Play
58.1% (124)
54.8% (135)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (130)
41.5% (130)
-0.7%
On even strength, Hertl has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Henrique is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (681).
Henrique shoots left. Hertl is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (715).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hertl
Home
50.0% (506)
52.6% (544)
Away
46.4% (549)
49.2% (612)
By Period
Henrique
Hertl
P1
47.6%
49.4%
P2
50.1%
51.7%
P3
47.9%
51.4%
OT
23.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |