Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Hertl 54.5% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 87.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 62.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 69.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Henrique
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
4
(19 meetings)
15
4
Henrique
Hertl
Last 10: Henrique 9-1 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
7
2
Henrique
Hertl
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
1
Henrique
Hertl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
54.1% (1,117)
-2.2%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
59.8% (296)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
34.4% (32)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hertl
Home
53.1% (339)
54.3% (709)
Away
49.1% (330)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Henrique
Hertl
P1
48.5%
51.6%
P2
48.6%
53.6%
P3
54.2%
58.6%
OT
70.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2022 | OT | 03:15 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 16:35 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |