Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Henrique wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Hertl 52.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 57.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 63.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 59.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Henrique
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Henrique
Hertl
Last 10: Henrique 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
6
Henrique
Hertl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Henrique
Hertl
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
0
Henrique
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
51.6% (1,084)
+2.8%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
61.0% (246)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
44.1% (136)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Henrique is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Henrique shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hertl
Home
55.3% (237)
55.2% (696)
Away
55.8% (260)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Henrique
Hertl
P1
53.5%
55.4%
P2
64.8%
54.8%
P3
47.3%
48.9%
OT
58.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 17:53 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 11:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 01:11 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 14:17 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2022 | OT | 04:09 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |