Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Hertl 56.8% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 51.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 60.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 60.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Henrique
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Henrique
Hertl
Last 10: Henrique 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
2
Henrique
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
4
Henrique
Hertl
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Henrique
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
57.0% (718)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
64.9% (188)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
44.2% (77)
+3.3%
On power play, Hertl has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hertl
Home
56.4% (553)
59.2% (463)
Away
50.0% (530)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Henrique
Hertl
P1
51.7%
56.3%
P2
55.5%
55.4%
P3
52.5%
60.5%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 12:19 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 13:05 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |