Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.4% vs 55.2%). Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Henrique wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Hertl 54.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 51.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 57.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 50.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Henrique
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Henrique
Hertl
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
7
4
Henrique
Hertl
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
4
Henrique
Hertl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
2
Henrique
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (445)
55.7% (648)
-1.1%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
60.4% (149)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
42.2% (83)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Henrique is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Henrique shoots left. Hertl is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (626).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hertl
Home
58.1% (310)
58.3% (391)
Away
51.9% (237)
52.8% (489)
By Period
Henrique
Hertl
P1
56.1%
58.9%
P2
53.6%
51.5%
P3
55.7%
54.3%
OT
71.4%
76.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 06:30 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 14:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:24 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:33 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |