Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Hayton 48.3% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 60.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 81.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 75.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Lowry
Hayton
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Lowry
Hayton
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Hayton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
3
Lowry
Hayton
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
Hayton
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Lowry
Hayton
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hayton
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
48.1% (643)
+7.7%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
55.6% (90)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
43.4% (129)
-1.1%
On even strength, Lowry has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayton shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Hayton is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hayton
Home
53.4% (515)
48.8% (424)
Away
52.6% (549)
47.5% (438)
By Period
Lowry
Hayton
P1
54.2%
52.9%
P2
54.4%
47.3%
P3
50.8%
44.1%
OT
37.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:34 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 06:41 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 04:37 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |