Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 51.1%). Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Hayton 51.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 68.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 69.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Lowry
Hayton
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Lowry
Hayton
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Hayton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
2
Lowry
Hayton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
7
4
Lowry
Hayton
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hayton
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
51.0% (937)
+1.7%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
56.1% (164)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
45.0% (129)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayton shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hayton
Home
52.4% (597)
54.6% (639)
Away
48.4% (583)
47.2% (591)
By Period
Lowry
Hayton
P1
48.5%
50.9%
P2
52.2%
52.7%
P3
50.5%
49.9%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:09 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 08:34 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |