Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Tkachuk 48.1% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 85.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 87.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 60.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Lowry
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Lowry
Tkachuk
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
7
Lowry
Tkachuk
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
11
1
Lowry
Tkachuk
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
2
Lowry
Tkachuk
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (523)
48.5% (99)
+2.9%
Power Play
56.7% (30)
46.7% (150)
+10.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Lowry is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Lowry shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Lowry
Tkachuk
Home
50.3% (354)
50.7% (136)
Away
50.7% (361)
43.4% (113)
By Period
Lowry
Tkachuk
P1
48.5%
45.9%
P2
52.2%
54.4%
P3
50.9%
42.2%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.5%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |