Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Gaunce 51.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 65.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Lowry
Gaunce
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Gaunce
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
0
1
Lowry
Gaunce
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Gaunce
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Gaunce
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
52.4% (126)
+3.4%
On even strength, Lowry has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaunce shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Gaunce is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Home / Away
Lowry
Gaunce
Home
53.4% (515)
46.9% (49)
Away
52.6% (549)
55.8% (77)
By Period
Lowry
Gaunce
P1
54.2%
54.5%
P2
54.4%
46.2%
P3
50.8%
55.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
62.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |