Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 52.1%). Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Gaunce 51.9% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaunce 52.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 61.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 56.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Lowry
Gaunce
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Lowry
Gaunce
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Gaunce
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
0
2
Lowry
Gaunce
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
0
Lowry
Gaunce
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaunce
0
3
Lowry
Gaunce
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Gaunce
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (8,914)
51.7% (894)
+1.1%
Power Play
57.0% (453)
55.6% (9)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (2,120)
55.4% (92)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Gaunce has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaunce shoots left. Lowry is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,585).
Lowry shoots left. Gaunce is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Home / Away
Lowry
Gaunce
Home
53.4% (5,759)
49.9% (525)
Away
49.6% (5,728)
54.5% (470)
By Period
Lowry
Gaunce
P1
51.5%
53.6%
P2
51.7%
47.4%
P3
51.3%
55.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
51.5%
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |