Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Gaunce 53.2% (-8.5%)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 67.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 72.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 66.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Lowry
Gaunce
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Gaunce
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
56.0% (50)
-3.3%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
100.0% (1)
-47.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
80.0% (5)
-40.0%
On power play, Gaunce has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaunce shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Gaunce is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Lowry
Gaunce
Home
52.4% (597)
59.0% (39)
Away
48.4% (583)
58.8% (17)
By Period
Lowry
Gaunce
P1
48.5%
50.0%
P2
52.2%
53.3%
P3
50.5%
68.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
68.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
58.9%