Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 55.1% vs Dvorak 51.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 54.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 72.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 68.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Lowry
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Dvorak
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Dvorak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Dvorak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (527)
51.2% (943)
+7.8%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
51.6% (122)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
52.7% (74)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Lowry is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Lowry shoots left. Dvorak is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Lowry
Dvorak
Home
57.9% (330)
53.9% (523)
Away
54.0% (341)
49.2% (616)
By Period
Lowry
Dvorak
P1
55.8%
56.7%
P2
55.8%
50.0%
P3
56.1%
46.7%
OT
50.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
62.2%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2017 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |