Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Dvorak 51.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 58.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Lowry
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lowry
Dvorak
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
3
Lowry
Dvorak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Dvorak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
52.2% (686)
+0.5%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
49.0% (104)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
53.5% (127)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Home / Away
Lowry
Dvorak
Home
52.4% (597)
54.1% (423)
Away
48.4% (583)
50.2% (494)
By Period
Lowry
Dvorak
P1
48.5%
51.4%
P2
52.2%
52.0%
P3
50.5%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |