Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Dvorak 55.3% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 59.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 65.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 61.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Lowry
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Lowry
Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
1
Lowry
Dvorak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
2
Lowry
Dvorak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
56.4% (857)
-2.7%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
69.0% (29)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
50.6% (174)
-7.9%
On power play, Dvorak has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Lowry
Dvorak
Home
53.0% (583)
55.1% (501)
Away
50.6% (605)
56.4% (559)
By Period
Lowry
Dvorak
P1
52.1%
55.8%
P2
51.8%
52.5%
P3
52.3%
58.2%
OT
25.0%
63.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:40 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |