Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Dvorak 56.0% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 75.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 53.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 62.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
Lowry
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Dvorak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
57.0% (291)
-7.7%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
83.3% (18)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
50.0% (32)
-7.4%
On power play, Dvorak has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Lowry
Dvorak
Home
50.2% (671)
58.3% (151)
Away
47.8% (709)
57.4% (190)
By Period
Lowry
Dvorak
P1
48.4%
56.7%
P2
50.1%
56.7%
P3
47.8%
59.6%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
61.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |