Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Dvorak 56.0% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 57.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 66.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 54.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Lowry
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lowry
Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Dvorak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
1
Lowry
Dvorak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
55.7% (714)
+0.1%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
61.1% (131)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
57.4% (122)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Home / Away
Lowry
Dvorak
Home
53.4% (515)
59.0% (432)
Away
52.6% (549)
54.8% (535)
By Period
Lowry
Dvorak
P1
54.2%
58.7%
P2
54.4%
53.9%
P3
50.8%
57.2%
OT
37.5%
70.6%
Final 5 min
54.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2022 | 3 | 17:59 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |