Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Sillinger 46.9% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 83.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 51.4%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 70.8%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Lowry
Sillinger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lowry
Sillinger
Last 7: Lowry 2-5 Sillinger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
2
Lowry
Sillinger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
2
Lowry
Sillinger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
0
1
Lowry
Sillinger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Sillinger
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
46.7% (694)
+9.1%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
53.8% (52)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
30.3% (33)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sillinger shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Sillinger is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Lowry
Sillinger
Home
53.4% (515)
47.9% (374)
Away
52.6% (549)
45.2% (405)
By Period
Lowry
Sillinger
P1
54.2%
48.5%
P2
54.4%
47.8%
P3
50.8%
42.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 07:54 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |