Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Sillinger 45.0% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 51.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 90.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 72.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Lowry
Sillinger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lowry
Sillinger
Last 6: Lowry 4-2 Sillinger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Sillinger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Sillinger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
2
Lowry
Sillinger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Sillinger
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
44.6% (639)
+8.1%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
54.3% (35)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
18.2% (22)
+21.8%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sillinger shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Sillinger is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
Lowry
Sillinger
Home
52.4% (597)
45.5% (365)
Away
48.4% (583)
42.9% (331)
By Period
Lowry
Sillinger
P1
48.5%
42.5%
P2
52.2%
43.9%
P3
50.5%
46.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |