Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Sillinger 45.8% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Sillinger leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Sillinger 92.6%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 72.1%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 82.5%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 84.6%
15.4%
84.6%
Lowry
Sillinger
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
16
(23 meetings)
7
16
Lowry
Sillinger
Last 10: Lowry 1-9 Sillinger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
3
8
Lowry
Sillinger
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lowry
Sillinger
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
5
Lowry
Sillinger
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Sillinger
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
46.1% (2,801)
+6.7%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
50.0% (180)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
36.9% (225)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sillinger shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Sillinger is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,097).
Home / Away
Lowry
Sillinger
Home
53.5% (5,893)
46.5% (1,620)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
44.8% (1,586)
By Period
Lowry
Sillinger
P1
51.5%
45.6%
P2
51.8%
45.5%
P3
51.4%
45.8%
OT
46.3%
47.8%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |