Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Sillinger 46.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 76.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 55.0%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 63.6%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Lowry
Sillinger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Lowry
Sillinger
Last 8: Lowry 1-7 Sillinger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
0
4
Lowry
Sillinger
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Sillinger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
0
2
Lowry
Sillinger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Sillinger
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
47.4% (834)
+1.9%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
44.3% (61)
+23.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
36.4% (77)
+6.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sillinger shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Sillinger is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Lowry
Sillinger
Home
50.2% (671)
45.9% (488)
Away
47.8% (709)
46.7% (484)
By Period
Lowry
Sillinger
P1
48.4%
45.0%
P2
50.1%
44.5%
P3
47.8%
49.5%
OT
66.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |