Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Ryan 55.2% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 81.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Lowry
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Lowry
Ryan
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
4
Lowry
Ryan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Lowry
Ryan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
6
Lowry
Ryan
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
56.6% (4,102)
-3.8%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
53.2% (342)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
47.8% (649)
-2.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Lowry
Ryan
Home
53.5% (5,893)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Lowry
Ryan
P1
51.5%
55.1%
P2
51.8%
54.7%
P3
51.4%
56.0%
OT
46.3%
58.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 14:15 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 11:56 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 02:57 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |