Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Ryan 54.6% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 70.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 61.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 58.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Lowry
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lowry
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Lowry
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
60.8% (263)
-11.5%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
100.0% (1)
-32.3%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
46.2% (145)
-3.6%
On power play, Ryan has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Lowry
Ryan
Home
50.2% (671)
56.7% (201)
Away
47.8% (709)
54.8% (208)
By Period
Lowry
Ryan
P1
48.4%
56.7%
P2
50.1%
56.8%
P3
47.8%
53.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |