Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Ryan 54.9% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 57.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 55.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 58.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Lowry
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lowry
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
60.2% (387)
-4.4%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
28.6% (7)
+26.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
43.2% (118)
-0.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Lowry
Ryan
Home
53.4% (515)
56.7% (254)
Away
52.6% (549)
55.0% (258)
By Period
Lowry
Ryan
P1
54.2%
56.9%
P2
54.4%
51.7%
P3
50.8%
59.2%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |