Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Ryan 57.4% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 50.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 77.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 65.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Lowry
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lowry
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Lowry
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
61.4% (220)
-7.7%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
100.0% (1)
-39.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
51.7% (29)
-9.0%
On power play, Ryan has a +39.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Lowry
Ryan
Home
53.0% (583)
64.2% (137)
Away
50.6% (605)
55.8% (113)
By Period
Lowry
Ryan
P1
52.1%
58.9%
P2
51.8%
62.8%
P3
52.3%
59.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 14:15 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |