Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.0%). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Ryan 50.0% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 52.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 52.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 54.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Lowry
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
50.9% (344)
+1.8%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
75.0% (4)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
45.3% (86)
-5.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Lowry
Ryan
Home
52.4% (597)
53.7% (214)
Away
48.4% (583)
46.4% (220)
By Period
Lowry
Ryan
P1
48.5%
45.0%
P2
52.2%
50.0%
P3
50.5%
54.6%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |