Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Larkin 52.4% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 70.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 68.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 51.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Lowry
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Lowry
Larkin
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
5
Lowry
Larkin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Larkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
51.7% (878)
+3.7%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
58.5% (246)
+24.8%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
48.2% (166)
-7.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Lowry
Larkin
Home
54.5% (402)
52.4% (647)
Away
53.3% (368)
52.7% (643)
By Period
Lowry
Larkin
P1
52.4%
52.2%
P2
56.0%
53.1%
P3
54.2%
51.7%
OT
40.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
58.1%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |