Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Lindholm 55.4% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 85.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 56.3%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 61.0%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Lowry
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Lowry
Lindholm
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Lindholm
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
3
Lowry
Lindholm
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
3
Lowry
Lindholm
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
57.7% (1,124)
-5.0%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
52.9% (155)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
48.6% (259)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lindholm
Home
52.4% (597)
55.7% (760)
Away
48.4% (583)
55.8% (778)
By Period
Lowry
Lindholm
P1
48.5%
53.7%
P2
52.2%
58.3%
P3
50.5%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
50.4%
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |