Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 53 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Lindholm 53.8% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 72-68 in 140 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 75.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 68.1%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 50.4%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Lowry
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
72
-
68
(140 meetings)
72
68
Lowry
Lindholm
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
17
33
Lowry
Lindholm
50 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
36
17
Lowry
Lindholm
53 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
19
18
Lowry
Lindholm
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
53.8% (8,505)
-1.0%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
59.3% (1,734)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
48.1% (1,610)
-3.2%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lindholm
Home
53.5% (5,893)
54.1% (5,943)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
53.6% (5,906)
By Period
Lowry
Lindholm
P1
51.5%
54.1%
P2
51.8%
54.5%
P3
51.4%
53.0%
OT
46.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:16 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |