Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Lindholm 54.9% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 66.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 66.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Lowry
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lowry
Lindholm
Last 7: Lowry 3-4 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
2
Lowry
Lindholm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Lindholm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Lowry
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
54.9% (937)
-1.2%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
60.4% (265)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
49.4% (172)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lindholm
Home
53.0% (583)
54.4% (688)
Away
50.6% (605)
56.1% (686)
By Period
Lowry
Lindholm
P1
52.1%
57.2%
P2
51.8%
54.3%
P3
52.3%
54.2%
OT
25.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |