Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Lowry wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Lindholm 54.8% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 83.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 53.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 54.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Lowry
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Lowry
Lindholm
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
3
Lowry
Lindholm
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
54.4% (722)
+1.0%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
62.2% (164)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
49.4% (83)
-9.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Lowry is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Lowry shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lindholm
Home
54.5% (402)
55.8% (541)
Away
53.3% (368)
54.7% (428)
By Period
Lowry
Lindholm
P1
52.4%
54.8%
P2
56.0%
55.7%
P3
54.2%
55.6%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:16 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |