Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Pettersson 50.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 70.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 51.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Lowry
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lowry
Pettersson
Last 6: Lowry 3-3 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Pettersson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Pettersson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
50.4% (698)
-1.1%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
63.2% (57)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
40.9% (44)
+1.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Lowry
Pettersson
Home
50.2% (671)
50.7% (420)
Away
47.8% (709)
50.9% (379)
By Period
Lowry
Pettersson
P1
48.4%
48.0%
P2
50.1%
47.6%
P3
47.8%
57.5%
OT
66.7%
30.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |