Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Pettersson 46.0% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 34-24 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 54.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 92.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 87.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Lowry
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
24
(58 meetings)
34
24
Lowry
Pettersson
Last 10: Lowry 2-8 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
13
Lowry
Pettersson
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
19
4
Lowry
Pettersson
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
11
7
Lowry
Pettersson
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
45.3% (4,569)
+7.5%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
54.6% (540)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
38.7% (238)
+6.2%
On even strength, Lowry has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,591).
Home / Away
Lowry
Pettersson
Home
53.5% (5,893)
46.8% (2,734)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
45.1% (2,613)
By Period
Lowry
Pettersson
P1
51.5%
44.7%
P2
51.8%
46.0%
P3
51.4%
47.4%
OT
46.3%
39.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:57 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |