Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Pettersson 47.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 68.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 82.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 69.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Lowry
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Lowry
Pettersson
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
5
Lowry
Pettersson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
0
Lowry
Pettersson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Pettersson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
46.3% (790)
+7.4%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
53.1% (147)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
51.9% (27)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Lowry
Pettersson
Home
53.0% (583)
48.1% (489)
Away
50.6% (605)
46.9% (475)
By Period
Lowry
Pettersson
P1
52.1%
47.4%
P2
51.8%
48.3%
P3
52.3%
46.6%
OT
25.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:57 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 18:09 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:33 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |