Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Pettersson 47.2% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 83.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 54.4%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 64.2%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Lowry
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Lowry
Pettersson
Last 10: Lowry 2-8 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
4
Lowry
Pettersson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Pettersson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
4
Lowry
Pettersson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
45.9% (790)
+9.5%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
55.4% (242)
+27.9%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
35.5% (107)
+4.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Home / Away
Lowry
Pettersson
Home
54.5% (402)
49.3% (584)
Away
53.3% (368)
44.5% (555)
By Period
Lowry
Pettersson
P1
52.4%
45.8%
P2
56.0%
47.9%
P3
54.2%
47.1%
OT
40.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
58.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |