Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Malkin 46.1% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 87.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 91.8%
91.8%
8.2%
Lowry
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Malkin
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
46.2% (807)
+12.4%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
30.4% (23)
+34.6%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
33.3% (3)
+20.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Lowry is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Lowry shoots left. Malkin is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (611).
Home / Away
Lowry
Malkin
Home
61.0% (602)
45.1% (450)
Away
53.7% (514)
46.4% (384)
By Period
Lowry
Malkin
P1
57.3%
48.2%
P2
58.1%
43.5%
P3
57.4%
46.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
61.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 14:52 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |