Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Malkin 48.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 79.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Lowry
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lowry
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Lowry
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
47.9% (776)
+1.4%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
66.7% (24)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
100.0% (1)
-57.4%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +57.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Lowry
Malkin
Home
50.2% (671)
49.6% (405)
Away
47.8% (709)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Lowry
Malkin
P1
48.4%
49.6%
P2
50.1%
47.2%
P3
47.8%
48.5%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |