Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Malkin 49.4% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 82.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 83.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 62.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Lowry
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lowry
Malkin
Last 7: Lowry 4-3 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
2
Lowry
Malkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Malkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
49.0% (811)
+3.7%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
55.8% (43)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
50.0% (2)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Home / Away
Lowry
Malkin
Home
52.4% (597)
52.3% (438)
Away
48.4% (583)
46.2% (418)
By Period
Lowry
Malkin
P1
48.5%
51.3%
P2
52.2%
50.8%
P3
50.5%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 14:07 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 01:12 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |