Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Malkin 45.9% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 33-23 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 50.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 95.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 88.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Lowry
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
23
(56 meetings)
33
23
Lowry
Malkin
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
12
Lowry
Malkin
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
20
4
Lowry
Malkin
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
10
7
Lowry
Malkin
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
45.6% (10,081)
+7.2%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
50.1% (668)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
32.2% (59)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Home / Away
Lowry
Malkin
Home
53.5% (5,893)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Lowry
Malkin
P1
51.5%
45.9%
P2
51.8%
46.2%
P3
51.4%
45.2%
OT
46.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 14:07 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 01:12 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |