Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Malkin 46.4% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 64.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 92.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 76.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Lowry
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Lowry
Malkin
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
2
Lowry
Malkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
Malkin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
45.5% (602)
+8.2%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
50.0% (30)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
100.0% (1)
-57.3%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +57.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Lowry
Malkin
Home
53.0% (583)
47.5% (326)
Away
50.6% (605)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Lowry
Malkin
P1
52.1%
49.3%
P2
51.8%
44.7%
P3
52.3%
42.3%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2024 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |