Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs McBain 44.7% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 68.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 79.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 78.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Lowry
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lowry
McBain
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
45.3% (675)
+7.4%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
50.0% (16)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
37.6% (149)
+2.4%
On even strength, Lowry has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Lowry
McBain
Home
52.4% (597)
45.5% (437)
Away
48.4% (583)
42.4% (403)
By Period
Lowry
McBain
P1
48.5%
43.5%
P2
52.2%
44.0%
P3
50.5%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 05:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |