Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs McBain 46.7% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 58.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 83.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 79.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Lowry
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Lowry
McBain
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
3
Lowry
McBain
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
McBain
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
5
Lowry
McBain
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
48.0% (2,298)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
49.0% (51)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
35.7% (308)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
Home / Away
Lowry
McBain
Home
53.5% (5,893)
49.0% (1,359)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
44.0% (1,298)
By Period
Lowry
McBain
P1
51.5%
46.7%
P2
51.8%
47.5%
P3
51.4%
45.6%
OT
46.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Jack McBain |