Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs McBain 45.9% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 57.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Lowry
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Lowry
McBain
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
McBain
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
3
Lowry
McBain
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
46.3% (568)
+3.0%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
37.5% (8)
+30.2%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
37.8% (74)
+4.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Lowry
McBain
Home
50.2% (671)
50.6% (330)
Away
47.8% (709)
39.7% (320)
By Period
Lowry
McBain
P1
48.4%
45.4%
P2
50.1%
44.5%
P3
47.8%
45.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |