Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs McBain 50.9% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 52.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 78.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Lowry
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lowry
McBain
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
McBain
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
52.1% (545)
+3.3%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
57.1% (14)
+26.2%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
37.0% (46)
+3.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Lowry
McBain
Home
54.5% (402)
52.2% (289)
Away
53.3% (368)
50.0% (316)
By Period
Lowry
McBain
P1
52.4%
52.6%
P2
56.0%
53.6%
P3
54.2%
47.1%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Jack McBain |