Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Lowry wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.3% vs Benn 54.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 87.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 67.7%
Neutral zone
Benn 51.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Lowry
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Lowry
Benn
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Benn
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
Benn
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Benn
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (491)
54.5% (299)
+1.7%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
59.2% (103)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (140)
57.1% (35)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Lowry is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Lowry shoots left. Benn is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Lowry
Benn
Home
57.8% (341)
57.8% (223)
Away
49.4% (308)
53.7% (214)
By Period
Lowry
Benn
P1
53.2%
52.3%
P2
54.4%
56.6%
P3
53.0%
57.2%
OT
80.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
62.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.8%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2019 | OT | 01:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 09:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |