Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 34 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Benn 52.9% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 42-42 in 84 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 77.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 82.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 56.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Lowry
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
42
(84 meetings)
42
42
Lowry
Benn
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
7
27
Lowry
Benn
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
25
6
Lowry
Benn
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
10
9
Lowry
Benn
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
53.5% (6,450)
-0.7%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
52.5% (2,054)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
49.3% (515)
-4.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Home / Away
Lowry
Benn
Home
53.5% (5,893)
54.9% (4,547)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
51.0% (4,488)
By Period
Lowry
Benn
P1
51.5%
51.9%
P2
51.8%
52.6%
P3
51.4%
54.0%
OT
46.3%
62.4%
Final 5 min
52.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 03:54 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 09:58 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:50 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 25, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |