Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Benn 59.1% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 82.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 79.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 56.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Lowry
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Lowry
Benn
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
3
Lowry
Benn
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
Benn
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
3
Lowry
Benn
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
61.8% (584)
-9.1%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
56.7% (224)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
56.1% (57)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Lowry
Benn
Home
52.4% (597)
64.4% (433)
Away
48.4% (583)
55.8% (432)
By Period
Lowry
Benn
P1
48.5%
61.8%
P2
52.2%
59.6%
P3
50.5%
59.2%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.4%
62.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 07:47 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 15:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |