Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Benn 54.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 76.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 68.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 53.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Lowry
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lowry
Benn
Last 7: Lowry 4-3 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
2
Lowry
Benn
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Benn
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Lowry
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
55.3% (709)
+0.5%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
58.3% (127)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
47.3% (55)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Benn is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Lowry
Benn
Home
53.4% (515)
56.2% (443)
Away
52.6% (549)
54.2% (448)
By Period
Lowry
Benn
P1
54.2%
55.4%
P2
54.4%
54.1%
P3
50.8%
55.6%
OT
37.5%
71.4%
Final 5 min
54.2%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 19:11 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 12:00 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |