Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Benn 55.0% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 78.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 83.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Lowry
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Lowry
Benn
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
4
Lowry
Benn
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Benn
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
2
Lowry
Benn
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
55.9% (365)
-2.2%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
56.8% (132)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
53.1% (32)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Benn is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Home / Away
Lowry
Benn
Home
53.0% (583)
57.3% (267)
Away
50.6% (605)
54.6% (262)
By Period
Lowry
Benn
P1
52.1%
54.3%
P2
51.8%
55.7%
P3
52.3%
58.1%
Final 5 min
53.9%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |