Adam Lowry vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Pageau 55.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 63.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 70.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Lowry
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lowry
Pageau
Last 6: Lowry 1-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Lowry
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
3
Lowry
Pageau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Lowry
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
55.8% (1,000)
+0.0%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
56.6% (182)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
51.2% (170)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Home / Away
Lowry
Pageau
Home
53.4% (515)
57.1% (674)
Away
52.6% (549)
53.5% (678)
By Period
Lowry
Pageau
P1
54.2%
56.9%
P2
54.4%
54.5%
P3
50.8%
54.7%
OT
37.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
54.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |